
Hip-Hip-Hooray for positive news!
Bad news often garners a disproportionate share of media attention. With 24/7 access to global news flow, we’re just a touch of a screen or button away from the latest woes in the world. However, with so much attention focused on “bad”, a significant good-news story may have been widely looked over: The U.S. economic engine appears to be revving up. We thought it might be helpful to highlight some of the good news you may have missed.
• Employment Outlook(1)
– The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 8.6% in November,
reaching a 2½-year low.
– Weekly jobless claims fell to 366,000, reaching their
lowest level since May 2008.
– The ADP employment survey showed the biggest gain in
eight months. Small businesses (under 50 workers and
construction firms) added the most jobs in five years.
– 1.6 million jobs have been created over the past year.
– An average of 150,000 private sector jobs have been
created each month for the past year.
• Manufacturing – November’s Institute for Supply
Management (ISM) manufacturing index increased
to a five-month high, while more recent regional
manufacturing reports also beat expectations.
• Home Sales – Sales of existing single-family homes rose
1.6% in October compared to September, versus expectations
for a 2.2% decline.(2) Sales were up 13.5% versus a
year ago. Total housing starts also grew 16.5%, while
building permits increased 17.7%.(3)
• Consumer Confidence – The Conference Board’s
Consumer Confidence Index jumped to 56 in November
versus 40.9 in October. This exceeded even the most
optimistic forecasts and marked the biggest one-month
increase since April 2003.(4)
• Auto Sales – U.S. vehicle sales grew 14% in November,
the sixth consecutive month of growth and the highest
level since August 2009.(5)
• Retail Sales – Consumer spending remains relatively
healthy, with retail sales flat or positive for the last
17 consecutive months. Sales growth has beaten
expectations in two of the past three months.(6)
• Dividend Increases – Through Dec. 13, 333 companies
in the S&P 500 increased or initiated a dividend for 2011,
up from 256 in 2010 and just 157 in 2009.(7)
(1) Bureau of Labor Statistics
(2)National Association of Realtors
(3) National Association of Home Builders
(4) Conference Board
(5) Autodata
(6) National Retail Federation
(7) Standard & Poor’s